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20 Nov 2010
Medium range tankers have been in a dismal situation since the second half of the previous year, with the situation not much altered during most of this year as well, but things could pick up in the future, albeit only for those ship owners who keep their eyes and ears open. According to a report from London-based shipbroker
Gibson, the second half of last year was an absolute disaster for MR
tankers operating in the Atlantic Basin. “Timecharter equivalent
earnings on a round voyage basis for the benchmark gasoline trade UKC -
USAC (TC2, 37,000 tons) averaged well below fixed operating costs at
$2,500/day between July and November 2009. The situation this autumn
has not been much different, despite initial strong hopes for a busy
hurricane season. Since early August TC2 daily returns have remained
below the very basic “break-even” mark in
terms of fixed operating expenses, with the latest TCEs at just $500/day”.
The broker said that in part, such weak earnings are caused by a
renewed weakness in US gasolinge imports, which over the past couple of
months have averaged 0.84 million b/d, the lowest level for this time
of year since 2003 and slightly below last year’s level. Another
important downwards factor is undoubtedly rising MR supply, with the
total fleet figure (25,000 to 55,000 dwt) at present some 4% higher
than a year ago.
Still, ray of hopes can be found in the strong gains in US product
exports and mainly in distillates. Exports of distillates increased
from just over 0.1 million b/d in 2004 to 0.59 million b/d in 2009,
with volumes for the first eight months of this year being fairly close
to last year’s shipments at 0.6 million b/d. “As a result, distillates
became the single largest US products export, with almost all of it
traded to Latin America/Caribs and transatlantic to Europe. Strong
product exports provided opportunities to MRs operating in the Atlantic
Basin to increase spot
earnings by triangulation and/or picking up backhaul cargoes back into
Europe. In fact, the actual returns on a voyage whereby an owner
secures a cargo from the US Gulf to the UK Continent (right after
completing the TC2 voyage) are on average 2-3 times higher than the
simple round voyage TCE calculations on the UKC/USAC route” said the
report.
Even so, according to Gibson not all of the tankers operating in the
region were able to secure these deals, something which comes to show
that transatlantic MR trades are characterized by increasing
complexities, but at the same time offer more opportunities than ever
before to enhance tanker returns.
Meanwhile, according to Fearnley’s weekly report, product trades
remained sluggish this week as well, impaired by an abundance of prompt
tonnage on the Continent. “Freight rates remain flat at ws125 basis 37k
m/t for UKC/USAC. Despite a number of recent LR1 fixtures from the
Continent going east, the tonnage list remains long with LR1s trading
Baltic/ States fixing ws120 basis 60k m/t. Activity for the Handies
trading cross NWEurope have picked up this week but rates remain flat
at ws177.5 basis 22k m/t. There were few changes to report in the
Caribs with rates at ws135 basis 38k m/t upcoast and ws100 basis the
same quantity on backhauls to Europe. During the last week, the clean
market east of Suez has experienced an unanticipated rally in freight
rates. For LR1s trading MEG/Japan fixtures have been reported on
subjects at ws137.5 basis 55k m/t, representing a TCE of around usd
9.750/day. For the LR2s trading on the same route, fixtures are
reported on subjects with rates up to ws135 basis 75k m/t, representing
a TCE of around usd 17k/day on a roundtrip basis without waiting time.
Jet fuel liftings MEG/UKC are paying around usd 1.8 milllion basis 65k
m/t. MRs trading Singapore/Japan are seeing rates at ws140 basis 30k
m/t, and MRs trading MEG/Japan around ws142.5 basis 35k m/t” concluded
Fearnley’s.
Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide