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30 Apr 2008
China's steel industry still opposes including any freight premium in iron ore prices in negotiations with Australian miners, even as pressure rises to seal a deal in the next two months. Asian steel mills' negotiations with the miners on annual term iron ore prices have stalled over the proposed inclusion of a freight premium sought by the Australian miners to offset the higher cost to
China of importing Brazilian ore.
Under the terms of some contracts, miners need no longer supply iron
ore to their Chinese customers after June 30, leaving the Chinese
industry with the unappetizing choice of renegotiating contracts at
that point, paying much higher spot prices or accepting prices
recommended by mediators.
"We hope that the negotiations are resolved before June 30 and that we
don't have to face this problem," Luo Bingsheng, secretary general of
the China Iron and Steel Association, or CISA, told a news conference
on Tuesday.
"We oppose any settlement of a 'China price', and we strongly reject
including freight differentials in the term price calculation. This we
cannot accept."
Luo did not elaborate on the 'China price', which might involve
including a term shipping component. While Japanese mills generally
already have term shipping agreements that protect them from high spot
rates, most Chinese buyers are exposed to volatile freight rates.
Traditionally, all mills and miners accept the annual deal that is negotiated between any two parties.
But although Brazilian miner Vale has reached an agreement with Asian
and European customers for the year from April 1, rivals BHP Billiton
and Rio Tinto are holding out for higher prices.
Although China's top mill Baosteel represents China's steel industry in
the talks, CISA has significant authority behind the scenes.
Term prices have been well below spot prices for the last few years,
benefiting China's largest mills and iron ore traders, who buy at term
prices and resell on the mainland at spot prices.
After aggressive purchases in the first quarter, stocks in Chinese
ports in mid-April were just short of one month's consumption,
according to CISA stats.
Those port stocks and a spot tender by BHP Billiton have helped spot
prices soften to just over $190 a tonne for 65 grade Indian ore, from a
peak of about $202 a tonne six weeks ago.
"Stocks are pretty good. Spot iron ore prices will struggle to move up further," said Henry Liu, of Macquarie Research.
"As for the term negotiations, we have to wait and see."
But high freight rates mean that there is still a difference of more
than $50 a tonne in shipping ore from Brazil to Asia versus shipping it
from Australia, and both BHP and Rio, eager to maintain shareholders'
loyalty in a takeover battle, still want to recover some of that
difference.
In the long-term, though, Chinese mills need to secure more of their
own iron ore supply to protect against volatile raw materials prices
that are raising the cost of production, Luo said.
Source: Reuters