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31 Oct 2008
Hong Kong-based bulk shipping firm Pacific Basin Shipping will stick to its plans to buy new ships and have all financing ready for future capital commitments of more than $720 million, a senior executive said. But the firm will be cautious toward any new investments due to uncertainties in the international shipping market, which has seen an unprecedented fall in freight rates amid the global financial crisis, said Klaus Nyborg, deputy chief executive officer, on Friday.
"It's a very drastic and deteriorating market we have been facing and
there are a lot of uncertainties for the immediate future," he told
Reuters in an interview at his office in the commercial Central
District.
The Baltic Exchange's dry sea freight index for global raw materials
trade has plunged more than 90 percent from its peak in May to a more
than 6-year low on Thursday.
Shares in Pacific Basin rebounded 17 percent this week but have still
lost 68 percent of their market value this year, lagging a 50 percent
drop in Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index.
The stock is trading at 2.6 times 2009 earnings against bigger rivals
China COSCO's 2 times and China Shipping Development's 3.6 times.
Nyborg said the company sold out its stock portfolio in early 2008 and had no speculative foreign exchange trading.
Its relatively small position in forward freight agreements (FFA) was "predominately for hedging purposes," he said.
Shipping is a notoriously cyclical business and a lengthy industry boom
in the past few years, partly fuelled by China's demand for energy and
raw materials, has amplified the impact of the recent downturn, Nyborg
said.
With a long-standing order for new ships in the market, Pacific Basin played safe and sold 13 ships in 2007 and 7 in 2008.
"We have $800 million at hand in cash and we have addition bank credit
facilities," he said, adding that would be enough to cover its capital
expenditure requirements of $721 million for dry bulk and non dry bulk
assets.
DIM OUTLOOK
Pacific Basin is expected to post a record profit in 2008 with average
forecast earnings of $621 million by 14 analysts polled by Reuters
Estimates.
But it warned of much lower time charter earnings for 2009 and trading
of handysize vessels, which generated about $150 million profit for the
company, has come to a halt since August.
"It is difficult to predict when the market will improve," the company said in a statement late on Thursday.
Orders for its core handysize fleet services were covered by 93 percent
in 2008 and 43 percent in 2009. But the average daily time charter rate
fell about 28 percent to $22,580 in 2009 from $31,340 in 2008.
Nyborg would not disclose the breakeven point of the company's
operation but said the blended daily vessel costs for its handysize
vessels rose 25 percent to $12,840 in the first half of 2008.
Traffic demand for its core handysize ships was weaker as trade credit
restrictions curbed demand. But the wide varieties of cargoes that the
ships carry, ranging from ore to sugar and fertilizers, could help
mitigate the impact, he said.
Nyborg expects mergers and acquisitions to increase and sees buying opportunities emerging when the market stabilises.
"Because of the cyclicality in shipping, of course opportunities may arise at some point of time."
Source: Alibaba.com