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30 Jan 2009
Fears that the world downturn will spark a trade war have been stoked by the inclusion of measures to protect the US steel industry in Barack Obama's $US819 billion ($1.25trillion) package to stimulate the US economy.
The package, which Mr Obama hopes will jump-start the recession-hit US
economy, contains about $US90 billion worth of infrastructure projects,
with about $US64 billion subjectto mandatory US steel requirements.
In a further sign of world trade tensions, a war of words erupted at
the World Economic Forum in Switzerland over claims by the newly
appointed US Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner, that China was
"manipulating" its currency by artificially holding down its value
against the US dollar, supposedly swelling the US trade deficit.
China's Premier, Wen Jiabao, told the forum his message to the Obama
administration was that it was imperative for China and the US to
enhance their co-operation - a confrontational relationship would make
them both losers.
Mr Wen claimed China was seeing the first signs of economic recovery.
He suggested that "the harsh winter is gone and spring is around the
corner", and China could help "restore confidence in global economic
growth and curb the spread of the international financial crisis".
The Rudd Government is not commenting directly on the protectionist
threat until the Obama stimulus package is finalised, but a spokesman
for Kevin Rudd said Australia expected the US to be mindful of its
international trade obligations, including under our bilateral free
trade agreement.
Business organisations said it ran counter to the commitments made by
the US to the meeting of G20 nations held in Washington in November.
"The US was one of the G20 making a commitment that it would not
introduce protectionist measures, and that is what this amounts to. It
is inconsistent with the spirit of that crisis session," the policy
director of the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Greg
Evans, said yesterday.
Trade analysts go further, saying the measure would be illegal under
the commitments the US has made to the World Trade Organisation.
US steel will be compulsory for any airports, bridges, canals, dams,
dikes, pipelines, railroads, multi-line mass transit systems, roads,
tunnels, harbours and piersfinanced by the stimulus package.
The measure has been attacked by US business groups, with a letter to
congressional leaders signed by 15 business groups urging the removal
of allprotectionist measures from the package.
It specifically warns that the "Buy America" steel provision could
result in US companies being shut out of economic stimulus programs in
countries such as China, Germany, Britain, France, India and Australia.
But with Mr Obama strongly in support, the stimulus package passed the
House of Representatives by 244 votes to 188. No Republican voted for
the package, a blow to the President's hopes for bipartisan support,
and 11 Democrats were opposed.
The bill will now go to the Senate, where a second version is also
under discussion, and some senators, including Democrat Sherrod Brown
of Ohio, want the Buy America provisions expanded to include other
materials such as cement.
"As we are losing jobs in record numbers, we obviously need to devote
these funds to direct creation of American jobs," Senator Brown said.
"To do that, we must ensure that federal funds are used to buy American
products and to help promote manufacturing in our country."
A US embassy official pointed out that the separate bills in the two
houses of US congress would eventually be brought together in a
conference, over which the new Obama administration would have
considerable influence.
"There is likely to be changes once the Senate version is resolved," he said.
The issue is the first test of Mr Obama's free-trade credentials.
During the election campaign, he appealed for the votes of
steelworkers, saying he had opposed key free trade agreements and
calling for action against Chinese imports.
"The men and women you represent haven't been getting a seat at the
table when trade agreements are being negotiated," he told steel
unionists.
However, Mr Obama's chief trade negotiator and his key economic officials have all strong free-trade credentials.
Although Mr Obama's views will be considered by legislators, it is
unthinkable that he would veto the stimulus package because of the Buy
America provisions. However, opinion in the US is split.
A letter to congressional leaders by business groups, led by the US
Chamber of Commerce, the National Foreign Trade Council and the
American Business Conference, said the US would be in breach of
procurement commitments to the World Trade Organisation if the Buy
America steel provision were enacted.
"If the US expands or enacts new Buy American-type provisions that
abrogate the US government procurement agreement or our other trade
agreement commitments, the US and US firms will face retaliatory
sanctions in other markets and jeopardise our ability to open other
foreign government markets to US goods and services," the letter said.
The letter also noted last November's G20 declaration in which member
nations pledged to "refrain from raising new barriers to investment or
to trade in goods and services, imposing new export restrictions, or
implementing (WTO) inconsistent measures to stimulate exports".
Source: The Australian