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31 Mar 2009
Just when shipping companies thought it was safe to go back into the water — off the Horn of Africa in particular — Somali pirates last week nabbed two large chemical tankers within 24 hours, despite the presence of a bevy of Western and other navies prowling in search of the buccaneers. The Greek-owned MV Nipayia was snagged last
Wednesday, followed within a day by the capture of the Norwegian-owned
MV Bow-Asir. The attacks, which occurred at 380 and 490 nautical miles
offshore, showed a willingness by pirates to operate at great distances
from their lairs along the Somali coastline. While international navies
have heralded the successes of their antipiracy patrols of recent
months, last week's captures — and the piracy statistics for the past
three months — don't offer much cause for comfort to the shipping
industry. Last year, according to a U.N. report, there were 111 attacks
on shipping in the Gulf of Aden corridor, which marked a 200% increase
over the previous year's figures. Now, despite the presence of ships
from more than 20 of the world's navies in the Gulf of Aden, the
International Maritime Bureau says there have been 51 attacks in the
first three months of the year alone. And the international shipping
association BIMCO says piracy attacks have spread to ships traveling
nowhere near the Gulf of Aden. (See pictures of Somalia's pirates at
work)
"Indeed, very recent events would seem to confirm BIMCO's
worst fears," the group said of the latest attacks in a recent advisory
to its members. The American Forces Press Service later filed a story
quoting an anonymous U.S. official as saying that the wider field of
attack on which the pirates are now operating presents "a monumental
challenge" to antipiracy efforts.
Still, analysts and antipiracy
advocates see some reasons for optimism. While the number of attacks
has gone up, their rate of success at actually seizing control of
vessels has declined. In December of last year, one in every five
attacks was successful; the data for March suggests that only one in
every 10 pirate raids succeeded.
The lower success rate,
according to Michael Howlett, divisional director for the International
Maritime Bureau in London, "is due to the naval presence and also the
ships know this is a high-risk area, and they have certain
[countermeasures] in place."
More sobering, though, is the
possibility that many of the attacks failed because of the bad weather
that is typical in the region during the first three months of the
year. Attacks off Somalia typically increase in the second quarter of
the year, as sailing conditions improve.
The rising incidence of
attacks is a clear indication that the pirates are as powerful as ever
onshore in Somalia, and are growing bolder and more determined as a
result of such high-profile ransom payments as the ones that secured
the release of the oil tanker Sirius Star and the freighter MV Faina,
which had been carrying battle tanks bound for Kenya.
The U.N.
report also highlighted just how difficult fighting Somali piracy will
be, by confirming suspicions that the pirates are almost certainly in
league with what passes for the government in the breakaway Somali
region of Puntland. "It is widely acknowledged that some of these
groups now rival established Somali authorities in terms of their
military capabilities and resource," U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon
wrote in the report. Not that Somalia has much by way of "established
authorities" to speak of. That's why some of the navies that have
captured pirates trying to seize shipping have handed the suspects over
to Kenya, which has agreements with the United States and the United
Kingdom to try piracy suspects.
As international efforts to
protect shipping around the Gulf of Aden have grown, so have the
pirates adapted their tactics. Andrew Mwangura, head of the East
African Seafarers Assistance Program, notes that the pirates are moving
their operations further south along the East African coast to avoid
the international warships. Sailors are also becoming concerned about
greater levels of danger to themselves: In the past, the crews of
hijacked ships were relatively sure they'd survive the ordeal precisely
because the pirates were so invincible — all the captives had to do was
remain calm and cooperative while the shipping company negotiated the
ransom. But now that pirates are being confronted, and sometimes
arrested or killed, by foreign navies, Mwangura says the pirates are
using more force and the danger to their hostages has increased.
"They
are coming to be more violent than they were in the past," Mwangura
tells TIME. "I think they have changed their modus operandi. Now they
realize it's do or die."
Source: Time World