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31 Jan 2010
The European Commission decided in 2008 to analyse possible and known threats to Europe and its population as part of an extensive programme. The results of these analyses are to provide the required information to deduce the necessary consequences to develop programmes and projects to counter the threats in the medium and long term.
The fields of interest which are being analysed are the fight against
drugs, illegal small arms proliferation, threats by nuclear, biological
and chemical agents, as well as the safeguarding of particularly
threatened sea areas. These fields of interest are overlapping to some
extent, however, it is also necessary to carry out the analyses and the
evaluation separately in order to, subsequently, gather what belongs
together at the bottom line. The fact that the decision to analyse the
imperiled sea territories would receive such a dramatic topicality, at
least to the originators, was not clear one year ago – although piracy
already was a major global threat at that time.
The assignment placed the focus on the sea lanes from the Strait of
Malacca and Singapore across the Indian Ocean to the Gulf of Aden and
the Strait of Bab-el-Mandeb. Both sea areas find themselves in the
spotlight for good reasons and the daily threat to crews and their
ships, unfortunately, have gained notoriety. When dealing with this
threat, one quickly discovered that, next to these two key sea areas,
there are other places in the world in which the threat to sailors and
their ships is just as urgent. However, due to selective perceptions,
these threats are currently not in the spotlight. They include the Gulf
of Guinea, the South China Sea and, still, the Caribbean.
The reason for European involvement in the improvement of maritime
security is based upon the awareness that approximately 90 per cent of
global trade is carried out at sea. Therefore, Europe and Germany (the
latter being a particularly export-oriented nation) strongly depend on
the security of this vital transit. Europe is a strongly
maritime-oriented continent surrounded by the seas and always having
depended upon them. Maritime Europe is a fact. Therefore, countries in
distant regions perceive it to be adequate and right that we, as a key
user of these sea lanes, contribute to the security of the latter. This
also includes Asian nations, which have already been involved in these
security matters for quite a long time.
Pushed by increasing pirate attacks off the coast of Somalia and in the
Gulf of Aden since 2005, the International Maritime Organisation, a
sub-organisation of the United Nations responsible for all maritime
matters, has tried with a number of conferences to induce the countries
of the West Indies, the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea to take joint
action. Within this ‘pending case’ the Security Council of the United
Nations has then highlighted the urgency to act by means of numerous
resolutions. These resolutions were laid out on immediate action for
the re-establishment of the security of vital sea lanes. The primary
cause for piracy at the Horn of Africa is the lack of any governmental
authority in Somalia and an unstable situation in Yemen. Consequently,
NATO and the European Union have simultaneously planned and initiated
operations of naval forces.
At first, one of the fundamental tasks of the European naval operation
“ATALANTA” was to escort the shipments for the World Food Programme
heading to Mogadishu to support the population of Somalia. This has
remained one of the tasks and it can be observed that, at least as far
as it concerns the maritime part, the logistics chain in now secured.
Nevertheless, the mission of the naval forces of operation ATALANTA is
far more comprehensive and the Security Council has provided a stalwart
mandate to implement the law at sea which has been adopted by the NATO
and the EU operations. However, it remains a fact which is considered
to be critical: its operative approach is a reactive, and an offensive
fight against piracy is not intended, although this would be endorsed
by the mandate. Therefore, the question rightly is how will the current
approach stop the highly professional, flexible and brutal pirates.
Yet, considerations and an already-issued mandate of a military
operation on shore have to be viewed critically. The fact shouldn’t be
ignored that, ultimately, the aim is to enable self-dependent action by
the governments in Somalia as well as in Yemen.
Piracy obviously has many causes and pirates are recruited from
entirely different social and cultural origins. The most manifest cause
for the increase of piracy in this sea area is the collapse of any
governmental authority, which in the first place enables any sort of
criminal activity on shore or at sea to this extent. Due to the
inaction of all aggrieved parties, just as on shore, the methods of
these activities at sea have dramatically increased in the course of
the years. Even when considering the fact that piracy, contraband
trade, flows of refugees as well as drug traffic and the transport of
small arms of all calibres has a long tradition in this part of the
world and has been generally tolerated, the current extent and the
open-ended question of who pulls the strings is very distressing.
But also illegal fishing within the country’s economic zone and
territory, repeatedly emphasised by the Somali side, is part of the
issue. In this context, the question of the credibility of the European
operation comes up: as long as the European fishing industry
participates in illegal fishing, this does not contribute to improving
trust in the region. Also, the illegal ocean dumping of pollutants of
all kings, as a consequence of the power vacuum, is repeatedly being
cited, however, so far this has not been proven. Hence, the motives are
complex, but in the end the crime pays off and, at least hitherto, the
risk is minimal.
However, the questions about the idleness of the adjacent states and
the international community remain open. Since 2002, an international
task force has been deployed to this sea area. Since then, the German
Navy and parts of the Joint Support Service (Streitkraftebasis) have
successfully operated against the terrorist threat, including during
several tours under German command.
The terrorists’ liberty of action and the use of former training camps
in Somalia has been successfully confined and prevented. A significant
side effect has been the limitation of the increase of contraband, drug
trafficking and piracy. However, when the parliament did not include
the fight against drug trafficking into the mandate for reasons of
political opportunity, and every criminal became aware that the mere
presence of international forces would not affect their criminal acts,
the latter dramatically increased. This has been clearly proven by the
statistics of the International Maritime Bureau and the Piracy
Reporting Centres in Kuala Lumpur.
In addition, until about one year ago, the loss of goods through piracy
had been considered statistically insignificant and the concerned
associations did not see any need for action regarding the governments.
The ship owners and charterers could have seen that this purely
economic assessment was and remains wrong by using the example of the
Strait of Malacca and of Singapore. However, this would have required a
different thinking and course of action in line with better
communications. The knowledge of the threat was available. The
possibilities and capabilities to encounter the negative development
equally existed – namely in the affected sea area. What was missing was
the request for a corresponding mandate by the ship owners and
charterers as well as the will of the politicians to issue such a
mandate. In this particular case, as in other cases, the point that no
requirement for risk provisioning has been expressed by the military
side within the Ministry of Defence has to be made in favour of the
responsible politicians.
Each payment of a ransom has been, and remains, a further brick in the
wall of recruitment and the successful accomplishment of attacks on
international shipping. To counter this development, a large-scale and
coordinated effort is required. Currently, the EU and NATO each deploy
a task force to the threatening sea area which, furthermore, is
patrolled by two US-led task forces. Nationally led task forces with a
limited period of operation have also contributed to the international
effort. Russia, China, Japan, India, Iran, Malaysia and Saudi Arabia
have been, or still are, present with maritime patrol aircraft and
ships.
It distinguishes all nations that they are willing to cooperate and
that the necessary coordination works successfully. The pragmatic
approaches in the mission area, the common international basic
understanding of navies and the awareness of pursuing a common purpose
prove to be of value. The number of ships and aircraft in the area of
operation varies and the mere number of units reveals little about
their effectiveness in terms of the common objective. However, it is
also important to take a look at a globe or at an atlas to bring to
mind the enormity of the geographical area.
At this point, some notes on the capabilities and the legal basic
parameters. An interested layperson may ask why such large vessels are
used to encounter pirates operating on such small boats. The big
advantage for the pirates is and remains that they operate off a home
shore, that they can chose the location and the time of their attack
and that they are “normal” fishers and sailors as long as they do not
attack - a fact which they use for their own protection. Their superior
knowledge of the Gulf of Aden, the Strait of Bab-el-Mandeb as well as
of the seas off the entire Somali coast, which now the German Navy has
also acquired, supports the mission accomplishment.
Operating in these waters since February 2002, the units are able to
make a reliable risk assessment of the intensive shipping traffic of
the old dhows that are used for trade and fishing in the area and have
modern engines as well as all means of communication at their disposal.
To provide security to international shipping, the naval forces –
generally consisting of frigates, cruisers or, in the case of the US,
the well-suited dock landing ships (LSDs) – offer all necessary
capabilities but, in particular, provide required long-endurance at sea
due to their size.
A protection by means of the so-called convoy system in pre-planned
routes is the adequate approach with the available number of forces.
However, the use of armed ship-based helicopters is one of the key
capabilities for this task. These helicopters have always been a
significant capability of the frigates and an integrated key element of
the crew. Nevertheless, the effective fight against piracy and
long-range protection, in particular, requires maritime patrol aircraft
(MPA). If they have the excellent intelligence and surveillance as well
as a data transfer capabilities, such as the P-3C Orions of the German
Navy, they play a significant role, especially for the surveillance and
warning before attacks occur. In the case of a reactive mandate, these
capabilities are of particular importance and their number plays a key
role for the success of the effort.
Next to these military capabilities, the essential questions for the
legal framework and the legal status of the participating forces
remain. These are complicated questions. Much is arguable and the
binding nature of international maritime law is quite variable due to
conventions which have not been ratified by all nations. The German
Navy has a clear-cut legal situation for its contribution to Operation
ATALANTA based upon article 24. However, this does not include other
operations and tasks and requires urgent clarification.
There is another aspect within the matter of the legal situation and of
security which has to be considered. It is the issue of civil security
providers and the repeatedly debated arming of crews. Operation
ATALANTA offers captains of merchant vessels the option to embark
trained soldiers, armed or unarmed.
Even the Yemeni Coast Guard, altogether too small and not sufficiently
equipped and trained to control its own territorial waters, offers
small security teams to be embarked on merchant vessels. However, this
is something different than the service of civil security companies.
At any rate, the danger of escalation and the related risk has to be
opposed to the expected increased security. Pirates want to press for
money, they take hostages and they capture ships and their cargo. They
have also fired at ships and wounded crew members. All this is bad
enough. Resistance and civil security providers are an incalculable
risk for the lives of the crew and, from my point of view, are no
solution to this threat situation.
The last question that remains is that of the link to international
terrorism. This question can only be answered by the intelligence
services. Considering the methods of the attacks, it appears to be
quite definite that the pirates are the executors and the actual
initiators and persons pulling the strings remain on shore. Who they
are is difficult to say. But if, as we assume, they are part of the
clans of Somalia, the solution has to be searched for and found
together with them or, at least, with parts of them. This is the civil
part of the problem solving process and is as urgent as the military
part.
The European Union (in particular France, the United Kingdom and Italy)
as well as the United States are working on this matter. Yet, many
tasks still lie ahead. But the responsibility for maritime security
remains in the hands of the governments of the respective regions. All
foreign assistance is only welcome to the extent as it is recognised as
a basic principle. In this respect, the process of opinion formation
and coordination of the respective nations is a prerequisite for
assistance by third parties. In Southeast Asia this process has been
successful; at the Horn of Africa is still is in the early stages.
Concluding, I would like to draft the following theses:
1. The use of naval forces to provide maritime security is necessary
and will be successful at sea, however, without achieving an absolute
security of international shipping.
2. The issued mandate of Operation ATALANTA is too reactive. Therefore,
the outcome of this is a significantly longer duration of the operation.
3. Each national and regional initiative to assume responsibility
within their own territorial waters and beyond must be supported
politically and in practice. In this context, “in practice” includes
assistance with training and equipment.
4. Each nation which deploys ships and aircraft for the fight against
piracy has to model its national law in a way to provide the capacity
to arrest and sentence pirates. This is also demanded by the United
Nations.
The different operations and the ships of single nations in the sea
area have to be coordinated in order to have a maintainable effort and
result. The next step should be a cooperation. Thereby, the operation
offers the opportunity of collaboration beyond the existing alliances
and coalitions. This will soon be required elsewhere.
5. Ship owners have to reassess their crew structures. Simple tasks
such as the look-out, permanent security patrols on the top deck and
improved information on the respective situation in the sea area
significantly reduce the risk of a successful attack. I advise against
the arming of the crew and the use of civil security personnel.
6. It is all about taking the initiative. This can only be achieved in
a well-coordinated cooperation between the responsible parties of the
region, the United Nations, the European Union and the North-Atlantic
defence community, as well as the ship owners.
7. The example of Southeast Asia, the local cooperation of the nations
in the region in the field of navigation as well as of external
security, proves that there are solutions to this problem. This could
serve as a role model.
Source: Defpro