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25 Feb 2010
European fuel oil shipments to Singapore will increase 33 percent in March as traders take advantage of prices in Asia that have been driven higher by the region’s accelerating economic growth.
Fuel oil, used to power ships or burnt to generate electricity, is
moving east because of declining demand in Europe, according to a
Bloomberg News survey of five traders, including companies involved in
this arbitrage trade. An estimated 15 supertankers have been chartered
to make the six- week journey to deliver 4 million metric tons in March,
more than the monthly average of 3 million tons during the past year.
The Golden Victory was loaded around Feb. 15 in Rotterdam and is
scheduled to arrive in Singapore on March 27, ship- tracking data on
Bloomberg showed. BP, Europe’s largest oil company, placed the Front
Tina on provisional charter after failing an initial booking for the
Maersk Neptune for $3.9 million, based on a report yesterday from
Simpson, Spence & Young Ltd., the world’s second-biggest shipbroker.
Each vessel is a Very Large Crude Carrier able to carry up to 260,000
tons.
The increased supply has eroded profits. The premium of Singapore fuel
oil swaps to Rotterdam barge prices have slipped below $20 a ton, from
an average $30 in December, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Based on freight rates of about $3.9 million for each VLCC, or $15 a
ton, traders are pocketing profits of less than $5 a ton after
operational costs such as financing and demurrage.
Quality Differences
The inflow of poorer quality, high-viscosity fuel oil, including
Russia’s heavy Mazut M100 grade, has also increased a spread measuring
quality differences, which is widely traded in the over-the-counter
market. In Singapore, the premium of 180- centistoke fuel oil to
380-centistoke grade has climbed to $7.75 a ton, the highest since
January 2009, said brokers PVM Oil Associates.
Since January, fuel oil inventories at Rotterdam, part of Europe’s
independent storage hub with Amsterdam and Antwerp, have fallen to
577,000 tons, 38 percent below a record 935,000 tons. Over the same
period, Singapore’s onshore stockpiles of residual fuels have increased
13 percent to 21.6 million barrels, or 3.3 million tons.
Globally, the number of vessels used as floating storage for crude oil
and refined product fell 20 percent in January as the financial
incentive to store supplies dissipated, Simpson, Spence & Young said
earlier this month.
Source: Bloomberg